Tuesday, May 15, 2007

Today's Market Watch from the CRIS MLS (5-15-2007)

On login to the MLS each morning, it is interesting to see the changes over the past 24 hours. The 24-Hour Market Watch statistics are posted on the home page of the MLS. Here is the reported activity from the past 24 hours:












New Listings209
Back on Market44
Price Increase10
Price Reductions222
Contingents10
Pendings116
Solds (Closed)68
Expireds47
Inactives (Withdrawn)169



The Realist.com statistical data for Summit County this morning shows the following for Single Family Residences as of 05/09/2007:








Time Period# SalesMedian SP
Mar 2007526$135,450
Mar 2006681$115,000
Feb 2007459$124,000
Feb 2006412$105,800
2007 YTD2022$127,000
20067767$127,000



So how do we interpret this? The Realist data considers all sales reported to the County Recorder, whereas the CRIS data reflects only brokered sales. While it appears that sale prices are increasing for February and March, those contracts may have been signed in December or January. What is particularly of interest is the number of closings to date compared to last year, and the overall median price. I would tend to interpret this as a market that is tightening -- a buyer's market, if you will -- that is requiring longer than normal market times.

In such a scenario it would be logical for sellers who are able to hold out for a higher price to drive the stats upward a bit. It would also be prudent to consider the withdrawn and expired listings along with the new listings, and think about the fact that for some of those sellers, who might be upside-down on their mortgages due to refinancing with equity lines, the clock may have run out and some of those homes will become foreclosure victims.

A sobering thought : if you lost your job today, how long could you continue to make payments on your house before you had to abandon it to foreclosure? Would you be angry if an inflated appraisal had put you in an upside-down position with your mortgage?

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